Blog Post

August 2023 Email Update

Tim Kelley • Sep 05, 2023

The July median sales price for single-family homes was $1,090,000 (1.6% lower than July 2022) and for condos was $500,000 (unchanged from July 2022).  Demand continued to fall with the number single-family homes selling dropping 28.2% and condos dropping 18.5% and pending sales of single-family homes dropping 16.8% and condos dropping 13.0%.  The supply of homes remains tight as 28.8% fewer single-family homes came on the market and 15.4% fewer condos in July compared to last year.

You can review more detailed current and past real estate market data on our website using the link below.


Monthly Statistics


The S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller National Home Price Index fell 0.5% lower in May 2023 compared to May 2022.  The price reduction was the second month in a row as mortgage rates bounced around between 6% and 7%.  Unusually low inventory has helped prevent greater price reductions as homeowners become more reluctant to sell and trade their low mortgage rate for a higher one.  The median existing-home sale price dropped 0.9% in June compared with June 2022.


2023 continues to challenge landlords with rising costs due to inflation.  The latest reminder arrived in June when the insurance bill for Tim and Tracey’s nineteen units arrived in the mail.  The bill rose over $7,000 or 25% over the past year.  Combined with higher interest rates on their business line of credit, interest and insurance expenses rose 92.67%.  After speaking with their financial advisors to confirm their decision, they suspended their monthly investment allotment to pay off the variable rate debt in their investment portfolio.


Honolulu rail ridership fell 59% from 8,952 passengers per day to 3,666 passengers per day once rail charged $3 over the first five days.  The Honolulu Authority for Rapid Transportation rail project is the most expensive in the world with each resident chipping in $10,500 to $13,700 depending on the final cost estimate.  The Grassroot Institute of Hawaii estimates that taxpayers additionally subsidize chip in $51 for every $3 ride.


Governor Josh Green issued an emergency proclamation aimed at building more affordable housing by relaxing state and county scrutiny of affordable housing projects to speed construction.  Current regulations add approximately $233,000 to $335,000 to the cost of building a new home.  The oversight does delay projects, yet some minimal oversight by neighborhood organizations does prevent building housing without sufficient parking.  Per usual, the governor relies on government to solve the problem when government originally created the problem.  A recent article describing the drama around a 243-unit complex that includes affordable housing repeats Hawaii’s failure at creating and maintaining housing.  The Hawaii Community Development Authority (HCDA) failed to pay maintenance fees two years ago, failed to address hot water distribution problems and mold, and recently threatened to evict two tenants over past due charges of $42 and 50 cents.  The residents have had enough and are making their complaints public.  HCDA officials complain that rental income fails to pay management and repair expenses and the current deficit is roughly $25,000.  The problems identified in the Honolulu Star Advertisers article will likely grow if the state builds and manages 50,000 more affordable housing units per Governor Green’s ambition.


300 members of Hawaii’s National Guard are participating in the Pacific Region’s largest military exercise, Talisman Sabre.  The soldiers and their F-22 Raptor fighter jets are among 30,000 troops from 13 countries taking part in the 10thversion of the biennial exercise.  The exercise is taking place in Australia this year and the Hawaiian force reports to an Australian Major General as part of the Australian Army’s 1st Division.  The arrangement is a slight role reversal since U.S. Troops normally lead other nations in real world multi-national operations like Iraq and Afghanistan.


US Military With Indian CO Conduct Talisman Saber ExercisesSt. Augustine by the Sea Catholic Church will resume its free lunch program after a pause requested by Mayor Rick Blangiardi over neighborhood concerns that the program was attracting criminals along with the homeless.  Blangiardi showed Father Akiona pictures of repeat criminals who were attending the free lunches and the priest agreed to suspend the lunches.  Supporters of the church pushed back and Father Akiona challenged the police and the mayor to address the problem since feeding those in need was unrelated to law enforcement.  Many businesses do support the mayor’s initiatives and credit the Safe and Sound push in Waikiki and nightly beach closings with the sharp drop in crime in Waikiki in 2023.


The Board of Directors of Hokua, a luxury condo in Kakaako, settled a case concerning retaliation against another board member for $600,000 in a widely watched case of a law passed in 2017 to prevent such incidents.  A retired Army colonel had joined the board and questioned an interior decorating contract when the invoice came in roughly three times the original estimate.  The company was owned by a relative of one of the board members.  When the new board member questioned the incident, the rest of the board removed him from the renovations committee.  The case was settled before a judge could rule on the new law’s anti-retaliation provision.  Ironically, the settlement will likely be paid by the association’s insurance resulting in higher premiums to condo owners.  The defendants in the case won’t have to pay a dime.


Civil Beat reported condo associated board members are often prevented from helping condo owners in a timely manner by heavy handed property managers from the management companies hired by the condo association.  One board member was repeatedly instructed to wait until the next monthly board meeting to inquire about important maintenance issues like a hot water heater that was down for four days and a clogged trash chute.  Stott Property Management, LLC has run into this type of interference which results in unnecessary delays of important repairs resulting in hardship for both the tenants and owners of impacted condos.  Some management companies even prevent board members from speaking with the contractors hired by the association.  In one case, the management company refused to give a detailed accounting of a $7,000 air conditioning charge to a condo owner who was unaware of any work being completed in her unit.  The management company responded that the association would be charged extra for requesting copies of paid invoices.


Prepare to pack one set of clean clothes in your carry-on luggage when flying to Daniel K. Inouye International Airport or Lihue Airport.  Honolulu’s airport ranked as the #9 worst and Kauai’s airport ranked as the #13 worst airport for lost luggage according to Forbes Advisor.  The study included the number of property damage and property loss claims per domestic passengers and percentage of property damage and property loss claims paid in full.


Best Travel Insurance Companies Of August 2023The University of Hawaii (UH) is wrapping up its $30 million expansion of the Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics complex to raise seating capacity from 9,300 to the Division I minimum of 15,000 seats for the September 1st opener.  UH was forced to upgrade its practice field to a Division I game field when Aloha Stadium was condemned in 2020.  While UH scrambled to provide a home field for its football team, the state has not even demolished the rusted out and unusable stadium.  UH will likely bear similar fruits to its work with additional students attending UH football games similar to the resurgence that Tim’s alma mater, Tulane University, experienced when it built an on-campus stadium versus using the Louisiana Superdome.  Tim does have fond memories of tailgate parties at the Superdome, however, games against Florida State were a challenge when the Green Wave played in front of 10,000 Tulane fans and 70,000 Florida State fans at their home field.

International Market Place has added an audio tour to its establishment.  The approximately one-hour tour consists of 20 geotagged sights that describes Waikiki history and culture.  Part of the tour includes informational plaques and statues of Don Ho and Queen Emma.  Visitors can listen to the tour in English, Hawaiian, or Japanese.

 

International MarketplaceThe Honolulu Department of Transportation Services has awarded $25 million to build an Ala Wai Canal pedestrian bridge that will clear the canal by 14 feet allowing canoes and other watercraft to pass underneath.  The bridge will allow construction of the flood mitigation wall planned by the Army Corps of Engineers.  The bridge will be open to pedestrians, bikes, and other recreational rolling activities and won’t allow motorized vehicles.  Environmental reviews should be completed this winter and construction will begin Summer 2024.


The work to restore the Koko Crater Stairs, also known as the Stairmaster to Hell, was completed in early July.  The City and County of Honolulu announced that a new 71 square foot platform replaced the deteriorating metal grate platform to the tune of $426,800.  The Kokonut Koalition had shamed the city into replacing the platform after volunteers restored the stairs at minimal expense.  The city had originally planned to just remove the old platform.


Koko Crater Hike. How hard is it? See for yourself. Full Trail video.A French citizen, Sebatien Roure, found an old ring near his village two years ago and learned that it belonged to a World War II Medal of Honor recipient and Hawaii resident, Staff Sargeant Robert Kuroda.  Kuroda was killed fighting the Nazis and received the Medal of Honor posthumously.  Kuroda was a member of the 442nd Infantry Regiment, made up of mostly Japanese American volunteers, on of the most decorated units in American military history.  Kuroda wove through enemy fire to destroy a German machine gun nest that pinned down his regiment by lobbing grenades from 10 yards away.  He then tried to rescue an American officer struck by machine gun fire only to find that he had been killed.  He retrieved the officer’s submachine gun and took out a second nest.  Kuroda was then killed by an enemy sniper.  Roure returned the ring to the Kuroda family in 2022 and the family responded by inviting Roure and his family to Hawaii.  One of Robert Kuroda’s nephews visited Roure in France and visited the woods where Roure found the ring.


French man who found a Hawaiian hero's missing ring from World War II visits his familyRoving herds of feral pigs are growing and intimidating residents in some neighborhoods in Tantalus, Palolo, Manoa, and Nuuanu.  Some people have been trapped in their cars while the pigs forage next to the vehicles and ignore noisy attempts to get them to move.  The herds were once a source of amusement, but the larger numbers and more aggressive members have alarmed many residents.  Impacted residents are asking for culling of the herds but the City and County of Honolulu do not currently have an animal control program for feral pigs.  The only source of relief is the Pig Hunters Association, a volunteer group that don’t charge but will accept donations. 


Hawaiian Airlines was ranked the #1 U.S. airline by Travel + Leisure readers in a 2023 survey.  The airlines were rated on cabin comfort, in-flight service, customer service and value.



Hawaii’s Allisen Corpuz won the U.S. Open at Pebble Beach on 7/9/2023 to become the first American to win their first LPGA tournament at the U.S. Open.

Tracey competed in the North Shore Swim Series crowned jewell, the 2.3-mile North Shore Challenge, Saturday, 7/22/2023.  Five-time Olympic gold medal winner, Aaron Piersol, edged out Tracey at the finish line this year.  Tracey, who has finished last in her age group in the past, finished 3rd in her age group at the North Shore Challenge and 2ndoverall in her age group for the four race series.  Tracey has completed the series 7 times and hopes to continue to complete the series for years to come.


Share this post

By Tim Kelley 09 Jan, 2024
The body content of your post goes here. To edit this text, click on it and delete this default text and start typing your own or paste your own from a different source.
By Tim Kelley 09 Jan, 2024
The December median price for single-family homes was $996,500 (5.1% lower than December 2022) and for condos was $510,000 (1.5% higher than December 2022). Demand continues to fall with 9.9% fewer single-family homes and 24.4% fewer condos sold this December compared to the same month last year. Single-family home sales have fallen twenty-three consecutive months and condo sales have dropped for nineteen straight months. The number of available properties, both single-family homes and condos, appears to be stabilizing yet scarce. There are still only 2.8 months of single-family home and 3.2 months of condo inventory. You can review more detailed current and past real estate market data on our website using the link below. Monthly Statistics October 2023 Market Update A U.S. Court District judge issued a summary judgement granting the Hawaii Legal Short-Term Rental Alliance (HILSTRA) a permanent injunction against a provision of Ordinance 22-7 prohibiting home rental periods between thirty and 89 days for property owners who were following the 30-day minimum rental period before the laws effective date of October 23 rd , 2022. HILSTRA successfully argued that the new law caused immediate and devastating economic harm to landlords and operators legally renting their properties. The permanent injunction will make the thirty to 89-day ban on newer rental properties difficult to enforce. The city has not decided if it will appeal the decision. An article by Civil Beat summarized decades of action or lack of action resulting in the years-long slog many homeowners and contractors experience at the Department of Planning and Permitting (DPP) waiting on permit approval. Back in the 1970’s, a contractor could obtain a building permit the same day by walking plans to each DPP department for signatures and being able to fix issues on the spot when an experienced examiner pointed them out. A loss of institutional knowledge when experienced examiners retired, increased regulation, a failure to update technology, and the removal of face-to-face interaction has resulted in November 2022 permit times of 330 days on average for a residential permit and 420 days on average for a commercial permit. DPP reported an average of a six-month delay in October, easy solar power permits have skewed the numbers since building permits still languish. DPP’s largest problem is hiring since people with an architecture or engineering background can make $20,000 to $50,000 more in the private sector and “don’t get yelled at as much.” Additionally, the Honolulu City Council issued a rash of new regulations from 2016 through 2020 requiring DPP to establish a new department and additional review step. DPP’s director has received additional funding to hire people to reduce the backlog, however, contractors are still waiting “longer than ever” for a permit in the meantime. National Home sales fell to a 13-year low in October and November sales rose slightly above October’s low due to lower mortgage rates. The Federal Reserve’s interest rate hikes have seized up the resale housing market and negatively impacted related businesses like furniture and home improvement stores. The furniture industry and home improvement sector have experienced four straight quarters of falling sales resulting in fewer jobs. Employment related to real estate has stagnated and some real estate agents are reconsidering their career path, particularly after the court verdict that may impact the way clients pay Buyer’s Agents. Economists think mortgage rates will have to drop at least an additional percentage before more sellers become willing to trade their currently low mortgage rates for a new home with a higher rate. Some good news came in the form of growing new home construction and a rise in building permits. The Hawaii Tourism Authority (HTA) reported 731,233 visitors arrived in Hawaii this past November, essentially the same number arriving the November prior. The number is 9.6% lower than the arrivals in November 2019, just prior to the pandemic. International visitors, including Japan, continue to significantly lag the pre-pandemic numbers. In an ironic development, the six-month old panel established by Governor Josh Green to accelerate affordable housing development, approved a school impact fee waiver for a developer to convert a commercial property into a 52-unit apartment building. The waiver does not have any impact on needed building permits. Green’s emergency proclamation was issued with the goal of building 50,000 housing units statewide, but only 1,300 more affordable rental units are in the pipeline. The Department of Land and Natural Resources (DLNR) fined a Sunset Beach homeowner for illegally pouring concrete on the beach to shore up his eroding property. Desperate homeowners have littered the surrounding coastline with boulders, sandbags, and black tarps as the state struggles to enforce laws preventing shoreline hardening that leads to accelerated beach loss. Pictures Soaring hurricane insurance rates are causing some condominium complexes to secure coverage that does not completely cover replacement costs. The rising costs are occurring despite Hawaii not experiencing a direct hit in 31 years because of the global nature of the reinsurance market. An association’s decision to reduce insurance coverage can make it difficult for home buyers to obtain mortgages and pay higher rates. A local insurance expert estimates almost four hundred condo complexes do not have full coverage including luxury buildings in Kakaako. Joint Task Force Red Hill (JTFRH) announced it finished the gravity draining portion of the defueling operation of the Navy’s underground fuel tank facility on December 15 th , 2023, removing almost 150 million gallons of fuel from the site. The last tanker of fuel departed on December 20 th for the Philippines, one of several U.S. sites in the Pacific chosen to receive the drained fuel. Workers must pump about 60,000 gallons of remaining fuel and remove about 30,000 gallons of “sludge.” JTFRH scheduled the removal of the remaining fuel by the end of January, six months earlier than planned. JTF-Red Hill Commander Provides Gravity Defueling Update A jury will decide the merits of a dispute between developer Howard Hughes Corp, developer of Ward Village in Kakaako and the Honolulu Authority for Rapid Transportation (HART) over the cost of the land HART seeks to build the rail project’s Kakaako station. The estimated price tag is $200 million, and HART has already spent $23.3 million in legal fees as of 2021. Howard Hughes Corp. disagrees with HART about receiving “special benefits” and HART using the “special benefits” to calculate the amount paid for the land. HART’s “expert appraiser” valued the land HART wants to take from Howard Hughes Corp. at $14 million. There is no current plan to build the Kakaako station at the heart of the dispute after Mayor Blangiardi postponed the construction of the final 1.25 miles of the line because of cost overruns. The U.S. Army agreed to lease the state Department of Transportation at Kawaihapai Airfield, previously known as Dillingham Airfield on the North Shore, paving the way for continued commercial activity by local businesses. State has less than 30 days to reach deal with military on Dillingham Airfield Heavy rains on December 20 th caused a mudslide on the Pali Highway, closing the Honolulu-bound lanes through the busy holiday weekend. Heavy rainfall has often resulted in mudslides closing the Pali. Multiple landslides in February of 2019 caused the state to declare the Pali Highway a natural disaster area. State construction crews spent months reinforcing the hillside above the Pali Highway and extending the tunnel to protect cars from falling debris. Pali Hwy closed through weekend as crews clear landslide Contractors removed and packed up the Caltech Submillimeter Observatory telescope on Mauna Kea for shipment for Chile in December, the first of five telescopes scientists must decommission on the Mauna Kea summit to make room for the Thirty Meter Telescope (TMT). TMT construction remains in limbo as the National Science Foundation completes more environmental studies and the new Mauna Kea Summit Oversight Authority takes over management of the summit. Caltech Submillimeter Observatory Telescope Removal The University of Hawaii’s (UH) new Reserve Officer Training Corps (ROTC) program commissioned its first Ensign on the deck of the Battleship, USS Missouri in December. The newly commissioned officer will serve on the USS Shiloh, based in Pearl Harbor, after completing the three-month Basic Division Officer Course. Tim graduated from Tulane University back in 1989 on a ROTC scholarship and served on the USS Cavalla, a fast-attack submarine based out of Pearl Harbor. A recently released study by an Arizona State University student and former Hawaii Institute of Marine Biology researcher reports fishing of herbivore species to less than 80% of the reef’s unfished density results in lower coral reef health due to the buildup of algae, the fish’s food. The state Department of Land and Natural Resources (DLNR) is considering additional reef fishing restrictions to prevent the overfishing of Hawaii’s coral reef systems. DLNR deployed its one millionth hatchery grown sea urchin in Kaneohe Bay to control two species of invasive seaweed that can suffocate coral reef patches in the bay. Once a month, a team collects twenty-five of the mini “seaweed mowers” and induces them to spawn resulting in larvae 24 hours later. Researchers siphon the swimming larvae off the top and place them in larvae rearing tanks to protect the delicate animals during development. After 28 days, the team grows a biofilm on clear corrugated roofing material that the larvae attach to and start to look like little urchins called spat. Three weeks later, researchers move the spat to grow-out tanks when they are the size of a pencil eraser and then deployed to the bay once they reach the size of a dime. Sea Life Park Hawaii kicked off “The Year of the Honu,” commemorating 50 years of its Honu Conservation program. The conservation program has released over 17,000 turtle hatchlings into the wild over its 50 years in operation. Sea Life Park Events The Lahaina wildfire destroyed Kohala Brewery and its owners rebuilding plan involves brewing their recipes at Kona Brewing Company. The arrangement allows Kohala Brewery to continue shipping beer to customers and take advantage of Kona Brewing Company’s state-of-the-art facility that allows for more tighter quality control and consistency. The second phase of Kohala’s recovery includes rebuilding the taproom and retail business. Oahu craft beer afficionados have a new option available, Howzit Brewing. The Kakaako brewery recently opened a brewery and tasting room in Ward Village. The owner was born on Oahu, learned his trade in the Pacific Northwest craft beer scene, and returned to Oahu to start his own enterprise. December provided a reminder of the danger involved with hiking some of Oahu’s trails. Fortunately, the hiker did not die from the fall. Rescuers found the hiker after a three-day search 1,000 feet below the Pali Notches Trail. The hiker suffered a fractured cheekbone, broken wrist, and several puncture wounds. Five units of about thirteen experienced hikers participated in the search to find the hiker. ‘It’s a miracle’: Hiker who fell 1,000 feet on Oahu trail, was missing for days thanks his rescue.  Take a look at our Another Day in Paradise's Video Another Day in Paradise: Waterfalls
By Tim Kelley 08 Dec, 2023
Stott Real Estate, Inc.
Show More
Share by: