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April 2022 Email Update

Tim Kelley • Sep 05, 2023

The March median price for single-family homes was a record $1,150,000 (21.1% higher than March 2021) and for condos was a record $515,500 (14.3% higher than March 2021).  The lack of available single-family home inventory continues to constrain sales with the numbers dropping 11.5% compared to March 2021.  The number of condo sales rose 7.3%.  Buyers continue to struggle finding a home with only 1.0 months of single-family home inventory and 1.5 months of condo inventory available.  The nationwide shortage of available homes is likely contributing to the lack of inventory here on the islands.  Tim and Tracey have spoken to potential clients and property management clients about selling and conducting a 1031 Exchange to defer capital gains taxes only to find out about the lack of available properties in the desired area to invest their funds.


Governor David Ige let the latest emergency proclamation addressing the COVID-19 pandemic to expire on March 25th.  The state’s Safe Travels program and the state’s requirement to wear a face mask in indoor public spaces have ended for the time being.  The state is unlikely to revive the Safe Travels program in the event of another surge because federal funds to the states to address the pandemic have ended.  The governor did not rule out a future mask requirement should a new outbreak threaten Hawaii’s vulnerable hospital system.


Hawaii continues to suffer from net migration losses and its population continues to shrink.  The U.S. Census Bureau estimates that Hawaii’s population dropped 0.7% from the July 2021 figure to 1,441,573.  Oahu alone lost 13,686 residents as people continue to leave the island in search of better opportunities.

Hawaii lawmakers received little information from the state Department of Health DOH during a 1 ½ hour brief on April 4th why the new Kaneohe mental health facility has yet to open its doors to patients over a year after contractors completed construction.  A state senator expressed bewilderment saying, “I don’t know why it has taken so long.”  The deputy director stated, “we need to take responsibility for that over DOH.”  If recent history is a guide, incompetence and corruption will go unpunished and those that failed to execute their jobs will receive their pensions.


Mayor Rick Blangiardi pointedly addressed two significant issues in his state of the city speech on March 15th.  The first announcement described the city’s new plan to shorten the disastrous rail project and end it near Circuit Court at the corner of South Street and Halekauwila Street in Kakaako, eliminating two stations.  The Federal Transit Administration (FTA) must still approve the plan for the city to qualify for the remainder of the federal funding.  In another notable development, the mayor acknowledged the Department of Planning and Permitting’s (DPP) abysmal performance over the past few decades. He highlighted the city’s new electronic permitting system for residential and commercial projects and push to hire more staff as part of the administration’s plan to eliminate the delays.  Unfortunately, he did not mention any initiatives to streamline the process or eliminate any unnecessary red tape contributing to the delays.


Stopping the rail project 1.25 miles short of the original goal could end a costly Kakaako land dispute.  Negotiations to obtain two acres of land through eminent domain could cost taxpayers up to $200 million.  HART has already paid over $23 million in legal fees on the dispute with Howard Hughes Corp., the developer of Ward Village.  City council members are questioning the practicality of ending the project near Halekauwila Street since there are currently no convenient bus routes from the last proposed station.  A lack of convenient mass transit options near the last Honolulu stop will result in even fewer riders and result in taxpayers picking up the tab for even greater subsidies. Take a look at this note from KHON2:


Honolulu rail project gets ETA


The Honolulu City Council voted to give condominiums more time to comply with a 2018 law requiring automatic fire sprinkler installation or passing a fire safety evaluation.  The measure changes the deadline to complete the fire safety inspection to August 31, 2022, versus May 3, 2022, and gives the associations until 2030 to receive a passing score, versus the 2025 deadline.  The Honolulu Fire Department (HFD) reported only twelve of the 178 buildings deciding to take the fire safety evaluation have passed.  One member of the council proposed to loosen the criteria since so many buildings are failing the evaluations.


The City and County of Honolulu is back to square one in finding a new landfill location after the Landfill Advisory Committee rejected all six potential sites.  The state Land Use Commission ordered the closure of the current Waimanalo Gulch landfill, located between Kapolei and Waianae, by March 2, 2028, and the city must select a new location by the end of 2022.  The criteria passed by the state legislature last September and the Board of Water Supply’s policy may be too strict to find any suitable location on Oahu.


River of Life Mission, a Christian nonprofit, closed its Chinatown kitchen on March 31st.  The organization served free meals for 35 years and community members viewed the site as a magnet for the homeless population in one of Oahu’s oldest neighborhoods.  The mission will distribute meals from four vans bringing food to the homeless population versus having the homeless come to Chinatown.  The goal is to team up with outreach centers and work towards getting the homeless off the streets and receiving the necessary treatment and help to find shelter.  The organization plans on serving the same number of people per day in four separate locations. Here's a quick report from KITV4:


River of Life Mission serves its final meal in Chinatown


Katherine Kealoha, the disgraced Honolulu assistant prosecutor, will turn witness against her brother, Dr. Rudolph Puana.  The Department of Justice accuses Puana of health care fraud and conspiracy to distribute oxycodone and fentanyl.  Kealoha, currently serving a 13-year sentence for corruption, is one of forty-eight witnesses for the prosecution.  The same team that successfully prosecuted the Kealohas is bringing the case against Puana and conducting other corruption allegations involving Hawaii’s political members and their business supporters.


Hawaiian Airlines was the top performing airline in on-time performance for the 18th consecutive year.  Ninety percent of Hawaiian’s flights were on-time in 2021, 9% higher than the United State’s industry average.  Hawaiian expanded its routes in 2021 adding flights between Honolulu and Austin, Honolulu and Orlando, and Maui to Phoenix while restoring international flights from Honolulu to Sydney, Tahiti, and American Samoa.

Two Mokulele pilots received recognition for rescuing two people whose single-engine plane crashed in the jungle near Maui’s Hana Airport.  The duo found the downed plane that was leaking fuel, turned off the planes electrical breakers to prevent igniting the fuel, and helped direct the fire and rescue team to the site to extract the pilot pinned inside the cockpit. Meet the pilots on this video by KHON2:


FAA honors Mokulele pilots for downed plane rescue


The University of Hawaii (UH) Rainbow Wahine earned an automatic bid to the NCAA women’s basketball tournament by following up its regular season Big West Championship with winning the Big West Conference tournament.  The Wahine overcame a 26-21 deficit to the University of California Irvine Anteaters and delivered in the second half to run away with a 59-48 victory.  UH received the 15th seed in the Wichita Region against 2nd seeded Baylor University.  Baylor thumped the Rainbow Wahine 89-49 on March 29th, ending a successful season.  The UH men’s basketball team finished 3rd in the Big West Conference regular season and lost in the semifinals of the Big West Conference tournament.  2022 turned out to be a great year for UH basketball overall.


Former teammates and coaches of UH quarterback, Colt Brennan, spread his ashes off the coast of Waikiki Beach in a final farewell.  The 2007 Heisman Trophy finalist died of a drug overdose last year.


A 987-page environmental assessment of the Kaiwa Ridge Trail, more commonly known as the Lanikai Pillbox Trail, documents the environmental damage, neighborhood impact, and danger associated with the unrestrained growth of another natural treasure.  The Lanikai neighborhood suffers from visitors jockeying for parking, noise, and trespassing.  Stott Property Management, LLC managed a Bluestone townhouse located next to the trail and disclosed to potential tenants the noise generated by hikers heading up the trail early in the morning to capture the spectacular sunrises at the pillboxes.  Observers counted 116 people entering the trail between 5:00 am and 5:45 am one day in June 2018.  The owner finally decided to sell because the noise resulted in lower than acceptable rents and reduced enjoyment during visits.  Erosion from the unmanaged trail results in muddy rivers of water running to the ocean and further damaging distressed coral in Lanikai Bay.  The erosion has made the steep parts of the trail treacherous.  There were no more than four rescues per year between 2000 and 2012.  The fire department conducted twenty-six rescues in 2017 and Tim and Tracey witnessed two helicopter rescues during the recent Christmas holiday from their Kailua home.  The report recommends a variety of trail repairs and suggests limiting the number of hikers daily.  Neighbors are asking the state Department of Land and Natural Resources (DLNR) to do something. Enjoy these beautiful views taken by Joel West Barish:


Hawaii: Lanikai Pillbox Hike


The Honolulu Zoo’s struggles made front-page news again April 3rd.  The Honolulu Star-Advertiser quoted Tim and Tracey’s friend who visited the Honolulu Zoo on April 1st, “it looks like they’re struggling.  It looks like they’re trying to do a lot with only a few people.”  The friend’s mother was much blunter when she helped celebrate Tim’s 55th birthday the following day stating, the zoo was not a great zoo.


In a bit of hopeful news, Hawaii’s most common corals show more resiliency to warming waters and rising ocean acidity from rising carbon dioxide levels.  A 22-month study observed three types of Hawaii coral in four tanks.  The researchers maintained one tank at current ocean temperature and acidity, one tank with warming conditions, one tank with rising acidity levels, and one tank combining warming and acidification.  46% percent of the most vulnerable coral species survived the most difficult conditions and 71% of Hawaii’s most populous coral species survived.  The two Porites species were able to maintain normal growth rates and metabolism throughout the study offering hope since these coral species are the most common types of coral found worldwide and are key to reef building.


Two friends that studied Zoology and Hawaiian Studies at the University of Hawaii founded Hui Ku Maoli Ola, a Kaneohe native plant nursery, decades ago.  The nursery initially contracted with Home Depot to provide endemic Hawaiian plants to customers and now provides native plant landscaping services and the pair spreads their passion through a non-profit.  Their goal is to reverse the decline in native plant species where Hawaii is home to 44% of the nations endangered species and restore plant populations that provide food and shelter for many of Hawaii’s native birds.  You can learn more by visiting their website.


Native Hawaiian Plant Nursery Oahu HI


Hawaii’s sad record of introducing plants and animals that become problems reared its ugly head again in the form of Maui’s axis deer population.  The state of Hawaii introduced five axis deer to Maui in 1959 followed by four the next year in a bid to create new hunting opportunities.  Governor David Ige issued an emergency proclamation on March 23rd to address the growing nuisance.  A committee in 2002 issued a report urging the state to aggressively contain Maui’s exploding deer population that doubled every four years and predicted safety, economic, and environmental consequences.  The state kicked the can down the road and Maui has dedicated $1.5 million this year and another $1 million next year to stop hungry deer from invading farms, back yards, and urban areas in search for food.



A bill to establish a pilot program to eradicate feral chickens across the state has received passionate opposition from a group, Save Hawaii Chickens.  The group is arguing that feral chickens could be an important food source and the eggs are “cage free.”  Do you know how to cook a feral Hawaii chicken?  Boil the chicken in a pot with a rock and the chicken is ready when the rock softens.  Some people complain that the feral chickens are messy and noisy while feral chicken advocates emphasize that chickens eat centipedes and other pesty insects.  Tim witnessed one law-abiding chicken use the crosswalk to “cross the road.”  The chicken had no comment when Tim asked why the chicken did it.  Environmentalists have valid concerns about the unforeseen consequences of using a proposed bird contraceptive, OvoControl feed, daily. The feed can contaminate soil, vertebrates, and water sources.New Paragraph

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By Tim Kelley 09 Jan, 2024
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By Tim Kelley 09 Jan, 2024
The December median price for single-family homes was $996,500 (5.1% lower than December 2022) and for condos was $510,000 (1.5% higher than December 2022). Demand continues to fall with 9.9% fewer single-family homes and 24.4% fewer condos sold this December compared to the same month last year. Single-family home sales have fallen twenty-three consecutive months and condo sales have dropped for nineteen straight months. The number of available properties, both single-family homes and condos, appears to be stabilizing yet scarce. There are still only 2.8 months of single-family home and 3.2 months of condo inventory. You can review more detailed current and past real estate market data on our website using the link below. Monthly Statistics October 2023 Market Update A U.S. Court District judge issued a summary judgement granting the Hawaii Legal Short-Term Rental Alliance (HILSTRA) a permanent injunction against a provision of Ordinance 22-7 prohibiting home rental periods between thirty and 89 days for property owners who were following the 30-day minimum rental period before the laws effective date of October 23 rd , 2022. HILSTRA successfully argued that the new law caused immediate and devastating economic harm to landlords and operators legally renting their properties. The permanent injunction will make the thirty to 89-day ban on newer rental properties difficult to enforce. The city has not decided if it will appeal the decision. An article by Civil Beat summarized decades of action or lack of action resulting in the years-long slog many homeowners and contractors experience at the Department of Planning and Permitting (DPP) waiting on permit approval. Back in the 1970’s, a contractor could obtain a building permit the same day by walking plans to each DPP department for signatures and being able to fix issues on the spot when an experienced examiner pointed them out. A loss of institutional knowledge when experienced examiners retired, increased regulation, a failure to update technology, and the removal of face-to-face interaction has resulted in November 2022 permit times of 330 days on average for a residential permit and 420 days on average for a commercial permit. DPP reported an average of a six-month delay in October, easy solar power permits have skewed the numbers since building permits still languish. DPP’s largest problem is hiring since people with an architecture or engineering background can make $20,000 to $50,000 more in the private sector and “don’t get yelled at as much.” Additionally, the Honolulu City Council issued a rash of new regulations from 2016 through 2020 requiring DPP to establish a new department and additional review step. DPP’s director has received additional funding to hire people to reduce the backlog, however, contractors are still waiting “longer than ever” for a permit in the meantime. National Home sales fell to a 13-year low in October and November sales rose slightly above October’s low due to lower mortgage rates. The Federal Reserve’s interest rate hikes have seized up the resale housing market and negatively impacted related businesses like furniture and home improvement stores. The furniture industry and home improvement sector have experienced four straight quarters of falling sales resulting in fewer jobs. Employment related to real estate has stagnated and some real estate agents are reconsidering their career path, particularly after the court verdict that may impact the way clients pay Buyer’s Agents. Economists think mortgage rates will have to drop at least an additional percentage before more sellers become willing to trade their currently low mortgage rates for a new home with a higher rate. Some good news came in the form of growing new home construction and a rise in building permits. The Hawaii Tourism Authority (HTA) reported 731,233 visitors arrived in Hawaii this past November, essentially the same number arriving the November prior. The number is 9.6% lower than the arrivals in November 2019, just prior to the pandemic. International visitors, including Japan, continue to significantly lag the pre-pandemic numbers. In an ironic development, the six-month old panel established by Governor Josh Green to accelerate affordable housing development, approved a school impact fee waiver for a developer to convert a commercial property into a 52-unit apartment building. The waiver does not have any impact on needed building permits. Green’s emergency proclamation was issued with the goal of building 50,000 housing units statewide, but only 1,300 more affordable rental units are in the pipeline. The Department of Land and Natural Resources (DLNR) fined a Sunset Beach homeowner for illegally pouring concrete on the beach to shore up his eroding property. Desperate homeowners have littered the surrounding coastline with boulders, sandbags, and black tarps as the state struggles to enforce laws preventing shoreline hardening that leads to accelerated beach loss. Pictures Soaring hurricane insurance rates are causing some condominium complexes to secure coverage that does not completely cover replacement costs. The rising costs are occurring despite Hawaii not experiencing a direct hit in 31 years because of the global nature of the reinsurance market. An association’s decision to reduce insurance coverage can make it difficult for home buyers to obtain mortgages and pay higher rates. A local insurance expert estimates almost four hundred condo complexes do not have full coverage including luxury buildings in Kakaako. Joint Task Force Red Hill (JTFRH) announced it finished the gravity draining portion of the defueling operation of the Navy’s underground fuel tank facility on December 15 th , 2023, removing almost 150 million gallons of fuel from the site. The last tanker of fuel departed on December 20 th for the Philippines, one of several U.S. sites in the Pacific chosen to receive the drained fuel. Workers must pump about 60,000 gallons of remaining fuel and remove about 30,000 gallons of “sludge.” JTFRH scheduled the removal of the remaining fuel by the end of January, six months earlier than planned. JTF-Red Hill Commander Provides Gravity Defueling Update A jury will decide the merits of a dispute between developer Howard Hughes Corp, developer of Ward Village in Kakaako and the Honolulu Authority for Rapid Transportation (HART) over the cost of the land HART seeks to build the rail project’s Kakaako station. The estimated price tag is $200 million, and HART has already spent $23.3 million in legal fees as of 2021. Howard Hughes Corp. disagrees with HART about receiving “special benefits” and HART using the “special benefits” to calculate the amount paid for the land. HART’s “expert appraiser” valued the land HART wants to take from Howard Hughes Corp. at $14 million. There is no current plan to build the Kakaako station at the heart of the dispute after Mayor Blangiardi postponed the construction of the final 1.25 miles of the line because of cost overruns. The U.S. Army agreed to lease the state Department of Transportation at Kawaihapai Airfield, previously known as Dillingham Airfield on the North Shore, paving the way for continued commercial activity by local businesses. State has less than 30 days to reach deal with military on Dillingham Airfield Heavy rains on December 20 th caused a mudslide on the Pali Highway, closing the Honolulu-bound lanes through the busy holiday weekend. Heavy rainfall has often resulted in mudslides closing the Pali. Multiple landslides in February of 2019 caused the state to declare the Pali Highway a natural disaster area. State construction crews spent months reinforcing the hillside above the Pali Highway and extending the tunnel to protect cars from falling debris. Pali Hwy closed through weekend as crews clear landslide Contractors removed and packed up the Caltech Submillimeter Observatory telescope on Mauna Kea for shipment for Chile in December, the first of five telescopes scientists must decommission on the Mauna Kea summit to make room for the Thirty Meter Telescope (TMT). TMT construction remains in limbo as the National Science Foundation completes more environmental studies and the new Mauna Kea Summit Oversight Authority takes over management of the summit. Caltech Submillimeter Observatory Telescope Removal The University of Hawaii’s (UH) new Reserve Officer Training Corps (ROTC) program commissioned its first Ensign on the deck of the Battleship, USS Missouri in December. The newly commissioned officer will serve on the USS Shiloh, based in Pearl Harbor, after completing the three-month Basic Division Officer Course. Tim graduated from Tulane University back in 1989 on a ROTC scholarship and served on the USS Cavalla, a fast-attack submarine based out of Pearl Harbor. A recently released study by an Arizona State University student and former Hawaii Institute of Marine Biology researcher reports fishing of herbivore species to less than 80% of the reef’s unfished density results in lower coral reef health due to the buildup of algae, the fish’s food. The state Department of Land and Natural Resources (DLNR) is considering additional reef fishing restrictions to prevent the overfishing of Hawaii’s coral reef systems. DLNR deployed its one millionth hatchery grown sea urchin in Kaneohe Bay to control two species of invasive seaweed that can suffocate coral reef patches in the bay. Once a month, a team collects twenty-five of the mini “seaweed mowers” and induces them to spawn resulting in larvae 24 hours later. Researchers siphon the swimming larvae off the top and place them in larvae rearing tanks to protect the delicate animals during development. After 28 days, the team grows a biofilm on clear corrugated roofing material that the larvae attach to and start to look like little urchins called spat. Three weeks later, researchers move the spat to grow-out tanks when they are the size of a pencil eraser and then deployed to the bay once they reach the size of a dime. Sea Life Park Hawaii kicked off “The Year of the Honu,” commemorating 50 years of its Honu Conservation program. The conservation program has released over 17,000 turtle hatchlings into the wild over its 50 years in operation. Sea Life Park Events The Lahaina wildfire destroyed Kohala Brewery and its owners rebuilding plan involves brewing their recipes at Kona Brewing Company. The arrangement allows Kohala Brewery to continue shipping beer to customers and take advantage of Kona Brewing Company’s state-of-the-art facility that allows for more tighter quality control and consistency. The second phase of Kohala’s recovery includes rebuilding the taproom and retail business. Oahu craft beer afficionados have a new option available, Howzit Brewing. The Kakaako brewery recently opened a brewery and tasting room in Ward Village. The owner was born on Oahu, learned his trade in the Pacific Northwest craft beer scene, and returned to Oahu to start his own enterprise. December provided a reminder of the danger involved with hiking some of Oahu’s trails. Fortunately, the hiker did not die from the fall. Rescuers found the hiker after a three-day search 1,000 feet below the Pali Notches Trail. The hiker suffered a fractured cheekbone, broken wrist, and several puncture wounds. Five units of about thirteen experienced hikers participated in the search to find the hiker. ‘It’s a miracle’: Hiker who fell 1,000 feet on Oahu trail, was missing for days thanks his rescue.  Take a look at our Another Day in Paradise's Video Another Day in Paradise: Waterfalls
By Tim Kelley 08 Dec, 2023
Stott Real Estate, Inc.
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