Blog Post

May 2022 Email Update

Tim Kelley • Sep 05, 2023

The April median sales price for single-family homes was $1,105,000 (19.1% higher than April 2021) and for condos was $510,000 (13.3% higher than April 2021).  Lack of inventory continues to constrain the market with the number of single-family home sales dropping 2.7% compared to April 2021, pending home sales dropping 18.7%, the number of condo sales rising 4.2%, and pending condo sales dropping 8.8%.  There is only 1.1 months of inventory for single-family homes and 1.5 months of inventory for condos.


Mayor Rick Blangiardi signed currently the most restrictive short-term rental law in the country, Ordinance 22-6, on March 26, 2022.  The new law raises the length of the minimum allowed lease term from thirty days to three months and prohibits all short-term rentals outside the resort-zoned areas of Waikiki, Ko Olina, Turtle Bay, and Makaha.  Apartment-zoned areas close to these neighborhoods may receive approval for renting entire units and bed-and-breakfast (B&B) operations where the operator lives on the property.  Vacation Rentals must provide off-street parking in communities zoned rural, residential, or apartment-use.  Owners in Ko’olina Hillside Villas and Ko Olina Fairways must carefully check the new map showing where short-term rental activity is legal because it cuts off portions of the two complexes.  The law goes into effect October 23, 2022.  Here is a link to the new law:


Short-Term Rentals


The University of Hawaii Economic Research Organization (UHERO) published “Measuring the Burden of Housing Regulation in Hawaii,” on April 14th and promised further research into how much Hawaii’s regulatory environment contributes to Hawaii’s high home prices.  UHERO conducted a survey to apply the Warton Index, a methodology of quantifying local regulation’s impact on new housing production, to compare Hawaii’s regulatory climate to other counties in the nation.  Economists released the first Warton Index in 2006 which only included Honolulu County and the index completely omitted Hawaii in 2018.  UHERO asked each county to complete the same survey used in the 2018 Warton Index update to compare Hawaii’s regulatory environment to other counties in the United States.  The index has a mean of zero meaning that a county with a positive value has more regulatory barriers to development than the average county and a county with a negative value has fewer regulatory barriers.  Hawaii County (The Big Island) had the highest barriers in the country and all Hawaii counties fell in to the top third of index values.  The state of Hawaii had significantly higher housing regulatory burdens than any other state in the union.  The study further breaks down the index with subcategories that highlight Hawaii’s affordable housing requirements and permit approval delays as the main contributor to suppressed development.  The Wharton Index correlates with an 8% increase of home prices with every one-point index increase implying that regulations add 8% to Oahu’s home prices and roughly 20% to the Big Island home prices.  You can watch a video about the study or read it in greater detail at the website below.


Measuring the Burden of Housing Regulation in Hawaii


Howard Hughes Corp. submitted a permit application for the 10th tower in the Ward Village planned neighborhood.  The Hawaii Community Development Agency will hold two public hearings this summer and have a decision-making hearing in August for the 330-unit residential mixed-use condominium project.

The Board of Water Supply (BWS) is encouraging residents to conserve water this spring and summer arguing that the Red Hill shaft contamination has restricted available water capacity.  Governor Ige has pushed to fix existing wells to boost capacity since 15% of the existing wells are down for repairs.  Some argue that BWS is too slow to restore wells threatened by the Red Hill fuel tank leaks despite testing that shows the water is safe to use.  The Board of Water Supply took the Halawa shaft out of service when testing confirmed jet fuel contamination in the Red Hill shaft, and it supplied 20% of the water to West Oahu.  The state has approved the U.S. Navy’s plan to install eight new Red Hill monitoring wells to see if fuel contamination is migrating beyond the original spill area.


A fatal Waikiki shooting on March 19th and an attack on a U.S. veteran who saw combat action in Iraq and his girlfriend served a reminder that Waikiki residents and tourists should take precautions.  Waikiki neighborhood leaders are meeting once again with legislators and the Honolulu Police Department (HPD) to increase walking patrols to stem the violence that previously flared up in 2018.  A May 2nd article in the Honolulu Star-Advertiser highlights the neighborhoods frustration with Oahu prosecutors.  Prosecutors first downgraded the case from third-degree assault to a misdemeanor and then dismissed the case without prejudice despite the violent assault on the veteran.  HPD officers are becoming increasingly frustrated with the Oahu justice system quickly releasing repeat offenders.  Seventeen percent of all reported Oahu crimes occurred in Waikiki during one week in 2022 and over one hundred violent crimes have taken place during the first three months of the year.


A jury found another member of the Kealoha crime ring guilty.  Jurors found Dr. Rudolph Puana, the brother of former Honolulu Deputy Prosecutor, Katherine Kealoha, guilty on thirty-eight counts of distributing and dispensing oxycodone, one count of distributing fentanyl without a legitimate medical purpose, and conspiracy to distribute or dispense the drugs.  He distributed close to 8,000 pills to friends and family.  Puana, an anesthesiologist and pain doctor, falsified medical records including drug tests that never happened to distribute the pills that friends could then sell to pay for their children’s private school and buy cocaine to use together.  Puana was addicted to hydrocodone for many years which he referred to as “Skittles.”


Organizers held the 59th Merrie Monarch festival over the weekend starting April 22nd in front of a limited crowd of the participants’ family and long-standing supporters and sponsors of the event.  The public was able to buy items at the festival’s popular arts and crafts fair offering locally made aloha wear, woodwork, photography, jewelry, food, music, skin care products, and official Merrie Monarch merchandise.


Windward Community College is offering graduating seniors of public and charter schools in Windward O’ahu one year of free tuition worth up to $3,144 as part of its Ho’olei Tuition Award program.  You can find more information at its website:


Ho‘olei Tuition Award


One feisty homeowner, a martial arts champion, has spent an estimated $200,000 to move large amounts of sand in front of his two ocean-front houses in a North Shore neighborhood that had a nearby home collapse onto the eroded beach in February without a permit and in defiance of the Department of Land and Natural Resources (DLNR).  The owner owns two houses on adjacent lots with an estimated market value of $5 million.  He publicly confronted the DLNR Chairperson when she visited the property of the collapsed house in February demanding options to protect his property.  DLNR has written several letters to the owner citing violations including the placement of large boulders, concrete pillars, and sandbags on the shoreline but has not mentioned any planned enforcement action.  DLNR did not respond to the Honolulu Star Advertiser reporter when asked about any future enforcement actions.


Polo on Oahu has returned from its COVID-19 pandemic hiatus with a full season scheduled which started on April 17th.  Fred and Murph Dailey founded The Hawaii Polo Club in 1963 on a North Shore oceanfront pitch.  Murph Dailey attended this year’s opening day at the age of 103.  The club has attracted local, national, and international players and spectators for decades and expects to host teams from India, Chile, and New Zealand later this summer.  The Dailey family helped build Hawaii tourism before jet travel and still owns the Equus hotel in Waikiki, a horse themed hotel that offers two complimentary tickets to the polo matches during the season.  You can visit the website below for more information.


Hawaii Polo Club


Kilauea volcano has continuously erupted for the past 1 ½ months in the Halemaumau crater raising the depth of the lava lake 325 feet since the current eruption started on September 29, 2021.  Initially, the eruption paused temporarily for a few days here and there.  Scientists cannot predict how long the eruption will last, but the volcano did previously erupt for decades in the 1800s.  You can view the eruptions via webcams at the address below.


Kīlauea - Summit Cams


Kauai-based Koloa Rum Company announced distribution of its products to Kansas, the 31st state in the company’s U.S. distribution channel.  The 13-year-old company has maintained steady growth even as local business shrunk during the pandemic by expanding sales in the U.S. and international locals like Australia, Canada, Europe, and Japan.  You can see their products and distributors by visiting their website.


Koloa Rum


The Hawaiian monk seal population has recently passed 1,500.  Conservation efforts appear to be working for one of the most endangered species and the number of Hawaiian monk seals will have to double before removing them from the list of endangered species.  A high rate of pup deaths in the Northwestern Hawaiian Islands is still a concern.


Tim and Tracey visited Washington D.C. from April 24th through April 27th to attend a wedding, visit family and friends, and take in the sites at the National Monument and Smithsonian museums.  Tim and Tracey learned a fun fact about Hawaii after visiting the Lincoln Memorial interior.  Prior to entering, they had noticed the states artists engraved the states at the top of the four exterior sides of the Lincoln Memorial and planned on finding Hawaii.  As they circled the building, they overheard a guide speaking to a tour group of veterans from Indiana explaining that Alaska and Hawaii are missing because builders completed the memorial in 1922 and there was no more room for Alaska and Hawaii when they became states in 1959.  What Tim and Tracey did not learn until they returned home was of a plaque on the steps of the Lincoln Memorial dedicated to the two states.

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By Tim Kelley 09 Jan, 2024
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By Tim Kelley 09 Jan, 2024
The December median price for single-family homes was $996,500 (5.1% lower than December 2022) and for condos was $510,000 (1.5% higher than December 2022). Demand continues to fall with 9.9% fewer single-family homes and 24.4% fewer condos sold this December compared to the same month last year. Single-family home sales have fallen twenty-three consecutive months and condo sales have dropped for nineteen straight months. The number of available properties, both single-family homes and condos, appears to be stabilizing yet scarce. There are still only 2.8 months of single-family home and 3.2 months of condo inventory. You can review more detailed current and past real estate market data on our website using the link below. Monthly Statistics October 2023 Market Update A U.S. Court District judge issued a summary judgement granting the Hawaii Legal Short-Term Rental Alliance (HILSTRA) a permanent injunction against a provision of Ordinance 22-7 prohibiting home rental periods between thirty and 89 days for property owners who were following the 30-day minimum rental period before the laws effective date of October 23 rd , 2022. HILSTRA successfully argued that the new law caused immediate and devastating economic harm to landlords and operators legally renting their properties. The permanent injunction will make the thirty to 89-day ban on newer rental properties difficult to enforce. The city has not decided if it will appeal the decision. An article by Civil Beat summarized decades of action or lack of action resulting in the years-long slog many homeowners and contractors experience at the Department of Planning and Permitting (DPP) waiting on permit approval. Back in the 1970’s, a contractor could obtain a building permit the same day by walking plans to each DPP department for signatures and being able to fix issues on the spot when an experienced examiner pointed them out. A loss of institutional knowledge when experienced examiners retired, increased regulation, a failure to update technology, and the removal of face-to-face interaction has resulted in November 2022 permit times of 330 days on average for a residential permit and 420 days on average for a commercial permit. DPP reported an average of a six-month delay in October, easy solar power permits have skewed the numbers since building permits still languish. DPP’s largest problem is hiring since people with an architecture or engineering background can make $20,000 to $50,000 more in the private sector and “don’t get yelled at as much.” Additionally, the Honolulu City Council issued a rash of new regulations from 2016 through 2020 requiring DPP to establish a new department and additional review step. DPP’s director has received additional funding to hire people to reduce the backlog, however, contractors are still waiting “longer than ever” for a permit in the meantime. National Home sales fell to a 13-year low in October and November sales rose slightly above October’s low due to lower mortgage rates. The Federal Reserve’s interest rate hikes have seized up the resale housing market and negatively impacted related businesses like furniture and home improvement stores. The furniture industry and home improvement sector have experienced four straight quarters of falling sales resulting in fewer jobs. Employment related to real estate has stagnated and some real estate agents are reconsidering their career path, particularly after the court verdict that may impact the way clients pay Buyer’s Agents. Economists think mortgage rates will have to drop at least an additional percentage before more sellers become willing to trade their currently low mortgage rates for a new home with a higher rate. Some good news came in the form of growing new home construction and a rise in building permits. The Hawaii Tourism Authority (HTA) reported 731,233 visitors arrived in Hawaii this past November, essentially the same number arriving the November prior. The number is 9.6% lower than the arrivals in November 2019, just prior to the pandemic. International visitors, including Japan, continue to significantly lag the pre-pandemic numbers. In an ironic development, the six-month old panel established by Governor Josh Green to accelerate affordable housing development, approved a school impact fee waiver for a developer to convert a commercial property into a 52-unit apartment building. The waiver does not have any impact on needed building permits. Green’s emergency proclamation was issued with the goal of building 50,000 housing units statewide, but only 1,300 more affordable rental units are in the pipeline. The Department of Land and Natural Resources (DLNR) fined a Sunset Beach homeowner for illegally pouring concrete on the beach to shore up his eroding property. Desperate homeowners have littered the surrounding coastline with boulders, sandbags, and black tarps as the state struggles to enforce laws preventing shoreline hardening that leads to accelerated beach loss. Pictures Soaring hurricane insurance rates are causing some condominium complexes to secure coverage that does not completely cover replacement costs. The rising costs are occurring despite Hawaii not experiencing a direct hit in 31 years because of the global nature of the reinsurance market. An association’s decision to reduce insurance coverage can make it difficult for home buyers to obtain mortgages and pay higher rates. A local insurance expert estimates almost four hundred condo complexes do not have full coverage including luxury buildings in Kakaako. Joint Task Force Red Hill (JTFRH) announced it finished the gravity draining portion of the defueling operation of the Navy’s underground fuel tank facility on December 15 th , 2023, removing almost 150 million gallons of fuel from the site. The last tanker of fuel departed on December 20 th for the Philippines, one of several U.S. sites in the Pacific chosen to receive the drained fuel. Workers must pump about 60,000 gallons of remaining fuel and remove about 30,000 gallons of “sludge.” JTFRH scheduled the removal of the remaining fuel by the end of January, six months earlier than planned. JTF-Red Hill Commander Provides Gravity Defueling Update A jury will decide the merits of a dispute between developer Howard Hughes Corp, developer of Ward Village in Kakaako and the Honolulu Authority for Rapid Transportation (HART) over the cost of the land HART seeks to build the rail project’s Kakaako station. The estimated price tag is $200 million, and HART has already spent $23.3 million in legal fees as of 2021. Howard Hughes Corp. disagrees with HART about receiving “special benefits” and HART using the “special benefits” to calculate the amount paid for the land. HART’s “expert appraiser” valued the land HART wants to take from Howard Hughes Corp. at $14 million. There is no current plan to build the Kakaako station at the heart of the dispute after Mayor Blangiardi postponed the construction of the final 1.25 miles of the line because of cost overruns. The U.S. Army agreed to lease the state Department of Transportation at Kawaihapai Airfield, previously known as Dillingham Airfield on the North Shore, paving the way for continued commercial activity by local businesses. State has less than 30 days to reach deal with military on Dillingham Airfield Heavy rains on December 20 th caused a mudslide on the Pali Highway, closing the Honolulu-bound lanes through the busy holiday weekend. Heavy rainfall has often resulted in mudslides closing the Pali. Multiple landslides in February of 2019 caused the state to declare the Pali Highway a natural disaster area. State construction crews spent months reinforcing the hillside above the Pali Highway and extending the tunnel to protect cars from falling debris. Pali Hwy closed through weekend as crews clear landslide Contractors removed and packed up the Caltech Submillimeter Observatory telescope on Mauna Kea for shipment for Chile in December, the first of five telescopes scientists must decommission on the Mauna Kea summit to make room for the Thirty Meter Telescope (TMT). TMT construction remains in limbo as the National Science Foundation completes more environmental studies and the new Mauna Kea Summit Oversight Authority takes over management of the summit. Caltech Submillimeter Observatory Telescope Removal The University of Hawaii’s (UH) new Reserve Officer Training Corps (ROTC) program commissioned its first Ensign on the deck of the Battleship, USS Missouri in December. The newly commissioned officer will serve on the USS Shiloh, based in Pearl Harbor, after completing the three-month Basic Division Officer Course. Tim graduated from Tulane University back in 1989 on a ROTC scholarship and served on the USS Cavalla, a fast-attack submarine based out of Pearl Harbor. A recently released study by an Arizona State University student and former Hawaii Institute of Marine Biology researcher reports fishing of herbivore species to less than 80% of the reef’s unfished density results in lower coral reef health due to the buildup of algae, the fish’s food. The state Department of Land and Natural Resources (DLNR) is considering additional reef fishing restrictions to prevent the overfishing of Hawaii’s coral reef systems. DLNR deployed its one millionth hatchery grown sea urchin in Kaneohe Bay to control two species of invasive seaweed that can suffocate coral reef patches in the bay. Once a month, a team collects twenty-five of the mini “seaweed mowers” and induces them to spawn resulting in larvae 24 hours later. Researchers siphon the swimming larvae off the top and place them in larvae rearing tanks to protect the delicate animals during development. After 28 days, the team grows a biofilm on clear corrugated roofing material that the larvae attach to and start to look like little urchins called spat. Three weeks later, researchers move the spat to grow-out tanks when they are the size of a pencil eraser and then deployed to the bay once they reach the size of a dime. Sea Life Park Hawaii kicked off “The Year of the Honu,” commemorating 50 years of its Honu Conservation program. The conservation program has released over 17,000 turtle hatchlings into the wild over its 50 years in operation. Sea Life Park Events The Lahaina wildfire destroyed Kohala Brewery and its owners rebuilding plan involves brewing their recipes at Kona Brewing Company. The arrangement allows Kohala Brewery to continue shipping beer to customers and take advantage of Kona Brewing Company’s state-of-the-art facility that allows for more tighter quality control and consistency. The second phase of Kohala’s recovery includes rebuilding the taproom and retail business. Oahu craft beer afficionados have a new option available, Howzit Brewing. The Kakaako brewery recently opened a brewery and tasting room in Ward Village. The owner was born on Oahu, learned his trade in the Pacific Northwest craft beer scene, and returned to Oahu to start his own enterprise. December provided a reminder of the danger involved with hiking some of Oahu’s trails. Fortunately, the hiker did not die from the fall. Rescuers found the hiker after a three-day search 1,000 feet below the Pali Notches Trail. The hiker suffered a fractured cheekbone, broken wrist, and several puncture wounds. Five units of about thirteen experienced hikers participated in the search to find the hiker. ‘It’s a miracle’: Hiker who fell 1,000 feet on Oahu trail, was missing for days thanks his rescue.  Take a look at our Another Day in Paradise's Video Another Day in Paradise: Waterfalls
By Tim Kelley 08 Dec, 2023
Stott Real Estate, Inc.
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